Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 14

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Vitória U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.2	2.42
	2.63	3.32	2.52
	2.68	3.05	2.59	Watch
	2.63	3	2.4
	2.83	3.19	2.42
	2.7	3.15	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)	3.15 (3.15)	2.41 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória U20
33.8%

Draw
28.7%

São Paulo U20
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

23.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Vitória U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+6', 0 - 1, Matheus Ferreira (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).

Vitória U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Paulo U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vitória U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, São Paulo U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vitória U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
23.05.26	Vitória U20 - Alagoinhas U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
20.05.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Vitória U20	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Vitória U20 - Grêmio U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
09.05.26	Bahia de Feira U20 - Vitória U20	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTTWW
- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
20.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Criciúma U20	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	América MG U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
14.11.20	São Paulo U20 - Vitória U20	2:2
02.10.19	Vitória U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2
11.07.18	Vitória U20 - São Paulo U20	2:0
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.18	São Paulo U20 - Vitória U20	2:2

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