The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Vitória de Sernache 53.1%
Draw 30.3%
Mortágua 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
28.6%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
27.7%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Vitória de Sernache aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).
Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
In recent matches, Sernache has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mortágua is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mortágua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mortágua has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sernache is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Watch
#ad
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
