Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Vitesse		Amsterdamsche FC

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	6	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6	Watch
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.45	5.9
	1.4	4.19	6.57
	1.3	5	7
	1.43	4.99	6.65	Watch
	1.42	4.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	4.73 ↓ (4.94)	6.35 ↓ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
65.9%

Draw
19.6%

Amsterdamsche FC
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

18.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

16.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vitesse - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitesse will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Schubert M. (G) 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. (C) 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 20. Meulensteen M. 24. Propper D. 42. Manhoef M. 21. Tielemans M. 25. de Regt G. 99. Visser A.	1. van Zetten G. (G) 26. van Kempen M. 4. Maatsen D. 18. Linthorst T. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 5. Claver C. 6. Benninga N. 16. De Mooij S. 8. Hoek M. 20. Siali O. 7. Platje M.
Substitutes
2. Arcus C. 7. Boutrah A. 55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 56. Egbring M. 17. Kozlowski K. 1. Room E. (G) 8. van Ginkel M. 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	17. Ascencion D. 28. Been W. 30. Dijkstra M. (G) 12. Ederveen S. 24. Eliasar M. 21. Hasselbaink N. 23. Hetli S. 9. Ignacio R. 11. Jesse M. 29. Mengerink M. 25. Nolet D. (G) 27. van der Greft J.
Coaches
Sturing E.	Nihom B.

Preview

Recent matches Vitesse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AFC is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AFC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently AFC have a series of guest games.

In this match Vitesse is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Vitesse - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bochum - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
10.12.23	Vitesse - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.01.24	Jong Almere City - Amsterdamsche FC	1:5 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.12.23	RKAV Volendam - Amsterdamsche FC	0:1 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
16.12.23	Lisse - Amsterdamsche FC	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Amsterdamsche FC - HHC Hardenberg	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	ACV - Amsterdamsche FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWWTW

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