Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	14:30	ESPN


	Vitesse		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.37
	2.95	3.55	2.32	Watch
	3.16	3.53	2.36
	3.16	3.51	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.98	3.52	2.32	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
32.1%

Draw
26.9%

Utrecht
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vitesse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Vitesse aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	31.8%	50%

Vitesse - Utrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Utrecht will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 15. Hendriks R. 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 20. Meulensteen M. 42. Manhoef M. 17. Kozlowski K. 7. Boutrah A. 8. van Ginkel M. (C)	1. Barkas V. (G) 5. ter Avest H. 34. Flamingo R. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 6. Bozdogan C. 8. Fraulo O. 26. Boussaid O. 7. Jensen V. 23. Ramselaar B. 9. Lammers S.
Substitutes
55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 25. de Regt G. 56. Egbring M. 5. Mica Pinto 24. Propper D. 31. Schubert M. (G) 21. Tielemans M. 43. Van Zwam G. 58. Visser A. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	46. Andersen S. 15. Blake A. 10. Booth T. 31. Branderhorst M. (G) 61. Gadellaa K. (G) 36. Leliendal Y. 27. Sagnan M. 77. ter Haar Romeny O. 18. Toornstra J. 3. van der Hoorn M. 2. Van der Maarel M.
Coaches
Sturing E.	Jans R.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Utrecht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 12 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 42-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bochum - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
10.12.23	Vitesse - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- FC Utrecht
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.12.23	Feyenoord - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.12.23	Utrecht - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
12.02.23	Vitesse - Utrecht	2:0
11.09.22	Utrecht - Vitesse	1:0
22.05.22	Vitesse - Utrecht	3:0 ET
19.05.22	Utrecht - Vitesse	3:1
20.02.22	Utrecht - Vitesse	1:1
07.11.21	Vitesse - Utrecht	2:1
14.03.21	Utrecht - Vitesse	1:3

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