Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Vitesse		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.65	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.7	3.35
	2.22	3.59	3.35
	2	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.68	3.14	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)	3.62 ↑ (3.53)	3.21 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitesse
44.1%

Draw
26.3%

Heracles Almelo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Vitesse - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 43. Van Zwam G. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 15. Hendriks R. 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 21. Tielemans M. 25. de Regt G. 42. Manhoef M. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 17. Kozlowski K.	1. Brouwer M. (G) 3. Wieckhoff J. 4. Sonnenberg S. 21. Hoogma J. (C) 12. Roosken R. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 7. Limbombe B. 8. Engels M. 10. Ouahim A. 29. Hansson E. 44. Sankoh M.
Substitutes
44. Altena J. 7. Boutrah A. 55. Bramel T. (G) 56. Egbring M. 10. Hamulic S. 31. Schubert M. (G) 52. Symons K. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	17. Bruns T. 35. Bultman S. 6. Cestic S. 16. de Keijzer F. (G) 28. Jalving R. (G) 2. Mokono S. 24. Nankishi A. 9. Satriano A. 32. Scheperman S. 18. Vejinovic M. 39. Wehmeyer L. 15. Willems J.
Coaches
Sturing E.	Lammers J.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vitesse have a series of guest games.

Vitesse will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Vitesse: Buitink T. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Meulensteen M. (Red Card) Mica Pinto (Knee Injury) Propper D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heracles: van Oorschot D. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Bakboord N. (Injury) Hornkamp J. (Ankle Injury) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)

Last 24 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 11 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 41-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
02.12.23	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
11.11.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Groene Ster - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
02.12.23	Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:5 ✺
10.11.23	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:6 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	HHC Hardenberg - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.22	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	0:0
12.12.21	Vitesse - Heracles Almelo	2:1
09.01.21	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	0:2
03.10.20	Vitesse - Heracles Almelo	3:0
03.05.20	Vitesse - Heracles Almelo	Canceled
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.01.20	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	0:2
Dutch Eredivisie
24.08.19	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	1:1

Upcoming Matches