Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 18

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Vitesse		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	13	7.5	1.18	Watch
	14	7.5	1.19
	14.5	7.3	1.18	Watch
	11.73	6.95	1.23
	15.8	7.88	1.18
	13	7	1.14
	13.5	7.4	1.19	Watch
	14	8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.69 ↑ (7.33)	7.44 ↑ (5.18)	1.18 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
6.9%

Draw
12.8%

Feyenoord
80.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

18.2%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

17.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitesse's form might have worsened.

Feyenoord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feyenoord's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feyenoord, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Vitesse - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 15. Hendriks R. 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 20. Meulensteen M. 42. Manhoef M. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 7. Boutrah A. 58. Visser A.	1. Bijlow J. (G) 4. Geertruida L. 18. Trauner G. (C) 33. Hancko D. 5. Hartman Q. 20. Wieffer M. 10. Stengs C. 8. Timber Q. 11. Dilrosun J. 29. Gimenez S. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
2. Arcus C. 55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 25. de Regt G. 23. Huisman D. 5. Mica Pinto 24. Propper D. 31. Schubert M. (G) 21. Tielemans M. 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	3. Beelen T. 17. Ivanusec L. 31. Lamprou K. (G) 32. Lingr O. 15. Lopez M. 27. Milambo A. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 25. Sauer L. 16. van den Belt T. 22. Wellenreuther T. (G)
Coaches
Sturing E.	Slot A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Feyenoord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Feyenoord is absolute favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 24-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.01.24	Vitesse - Amsterdamsche FC	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Vitesse - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bochum - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Feyenoord - Mainz	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.12.23	Feyenoord - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Heracles Almelo - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Celtic - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.10.23	Feyenoord - Vitesse	4:0
28.05.23	Feyenoord - Vitesse	0:1
07.08.22	Vitesse - Feyenoord	2:5
15.01.22	Feyenoord - Vitesse	0:1
03.10.21	Vitesse - Feyenoord	2:1
25.04.21	Feyenoord - Vitesse	0:0
20.12.20	Vitesse - Feyenoord	1:0

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