Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Vitesse		Willem II

	1	X	2
	3.2	4	1.91	Watch
	3.35	3.95	1.92
	3.37	4.01	2.02
	15.66	4.56	1.27	Watch
	3.22	4.02	1.96	Watch
	4.9	4.15	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (5.2)	4.12 ↓ (4.3)	1.78 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
18.1%

Draw
24.7%

Willem II
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

21.6%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Vitesse - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Willem II will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 25%). Willem II (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Vitesse (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Willem II (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brull M. (G) 24. Markelo N. 55. Steffen M. 17. Zumberi V. 28. Buttner A. (C) 21. Schwarz R. 6. Schikora M. 8. Moustafa A. 7. Hoogewerf D. 19. Tahaui A. 9. Huth E.	1. Didillon T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 19. van Aalst U. 6. Besselink G. 8. Culum A. 7. Doodeman N. 28. Verheydt T. 20. El Allouchi M.
Substitutes
35. Achouitar O. 5. Bakker J. 20. Bannis N. 2. Bonnah S. 33. Marschalk M. 11. Ranon Y. 29. Rodrigues M. 23. Siecker J. (G) 22. Thenu X. 16. van den Berg C. (G) 27. Zonneveld N.	47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 23. de Waal M. 48. Poortvliet J. 41. van der Linden B. (G) 22. van Loon P. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Culum A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Verheydt T. ⚽, Behounek R. (A),
29', Moustafa A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.

In recent matches, Vitesse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Willem II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Hoogewerf D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:19. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.09.25	Vitesse - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
16.09.25	Waalwijk - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
08.07.25	Vitesse - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WTLLW
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.25	Willem II - Jong Ajax	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	De Graafschap - Willem II	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cambuur - Willem II	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Willem II - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
24.04.22	Willem II - Vitesse	1:0
22.08.21	Vitesse - Willem II	0:3
21.03.21	Vitesse - Willem II	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.20	Willem II - Vitesse	0:2
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.20	Willem II - Vitesse	1:3
10.08.19	Willem II - Vitesse	0:2
16.02.19	Vitesse - Willem II	3:2

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