Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 5

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Vitoria Guimarães		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6	Watch
				Watch
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.56	4.25	6.39
	1.44	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.7	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	4 ↑ (3.98)	5.9 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
60.6%

Draw
23.5%

Portimonense
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (C) 76. Gaspar B. 44. Fernandes J. 4. Ribeiro T. 6. Manu 72. Freitas A. 80. Silva D. 17. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva 7. Andre Silva 11. Jota Silva	12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 44. Pedrao 43. Alemao 22. Relvas F. 14. Seck M. 11. Carlinhos (C) 13. Dener 25. Lucas Ventura 77. Varela H. 9. Paulinho 7. Jasper S.
Substitutes
22. Butzke A. 27. Charles (G) 8. Handel T. 20. Luz N. 2. Miguel Maga 9. Safira 77. Santos N. 29. Tounkara M. 28. Ze Carlos	76. Alcobia R. 19. Carrillo R. 18. Costa G. 20. Estrela P. 1. Gabriel Souza (G) 33. Igor Formiga 8. Mauricio 37. Rildo 99. Zinho
Coaches
Paulo Turra	Paulo Sergio

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1.

Recent matches Guimarães is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portimonense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portimonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

There will not play in Guimarães: Arcanjo T. (Injury) Mangas R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Portimonense: Nakamura K. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Portuguese League Cup
09.09.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.09.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	4:0 ✺
27.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Vizela	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
02.09.23	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Arouca - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Portimonense - Boavista	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Gil Vicente - Portimonense	5:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leixões - Portimonense	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:0
21.08.22	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1
17.01.22	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
08.08.21	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	0:1
09.04.21	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0
05.12.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:0
04.07.20	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1

Upcoming Matches