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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 49.6%
Draw 27%
Tondela 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
26.4%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
28.6%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 50.5% – 99.5%.
27. Charles Silva (G) 66. Strata T. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 16. Beni 30. Nogueira G. 88. Nogueira M. 20. Samu (C) 19. Camara O. 11. Gustavo
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto (C) 20. Medina B. 4. Marques C. 60. Maviram E. 32. Rodriguez J. 10. Hodge J. 26. van der Heide A. 16. Rony Lopes 7. Pedro Maranhao 29. Siebatcheu J.
Substitutes
18. Arcanjo T. 22. Blanco F. 25. Castillo J. (G) 17. Lebedenko O. 2. Maga 3. Nobrega M. 33. Opara E. 48. Saviolo N. 23. Sousa D.
90. Aiko M. 30. Canizares L. (G) 27. Conceicao R. 79. Felix H. 23. Kimpioka B. 48. Manso T. 70. Ouattara M. 44. Silva J. 8. Tavares H.
Coaches
Lameiras G.
Feio G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Nogueira G. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Nogueira M. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Medina B. 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
55', 4 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
56', van der Heide A. ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,
56', Maviram E. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
56', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
65', 5 - 0, Mendes J. II. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Samu ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
67', Nogueira M. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
68', Rony Lopes ↓, Felix H. ↑,
75', Strata T. ↓, Maga ↑,
75', Gustavo ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
80', Hodge J. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
81', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
87', Sousa D. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2.
Guimarães is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tondela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Tondela has had a series of home games.
In this match, Guimarães is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Tondela: Cicero
(Muscle Injury)
Felix H.
(Muscle Injury)
Rony Lopes
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Tondela: Tavares H.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).
Greece
Portugal
Ukraine
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Charles Silva (G) 
Strata T. 
Rivas Viondi O. 
Mendes J. II. 
Beni 
Camara O. 
Medina B. 
Maviram E. 
Rodriguez J. 
Hodge J. 
van der Heide A. 
Siebatcheu J. 
Arcanjo T. 
Lebedenko O. 
Kimpioka B. 
Ouattara M. 
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