Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.58	2.88
	2	3.86	3	Watch
	2	3.3	3
	2	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.48)	3.6 ↓ (4.08)	2.98 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
45.2%

Draw
24.8%

Żebbuġ Rangers
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

22.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

22.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vittoriosa Stars's performance.

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żebbuġ Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vittoriosa Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żebbuġ Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 2.

Vittoriosa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Żebbuġ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Żebbuġ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vittoriosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
16	Zebbug	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
01.04.26	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTWT
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
04.04.26	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Żurrieq - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:3 ✺
08.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4
07.02.21	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0
22.10.20	Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1
15.12.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
17.02.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
30.09.18	Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:2

Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide