Match Info

Liga Portugal - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Vizela		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.9	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.51	3.79
	1.97	3.58	3.81	Watch
	2	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.48	3.72
	1.98	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.27)	3.44 ↑ (3.37)	3.72 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
47.3%

Draw
27.3%

AVS
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vizela's performance.

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AVS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vizela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Vizela - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). AVS will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 79.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vizela (1.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vizela will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 6 - 85.7%). AVS (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Morro M. A. (G) 77. Jojo 41. Correia A. (C) 4. Rhyner J. 99. Ntolla N. 20. Semedo Y. 90. Nascimento D. 97. Loppy D. 24. Morschel H. 18. Semedo V. 33. Schutte R.	93. Simao (G) 2. Fonseca F. 42. Devenish C. 5. Teixeira J. 3. Rodrigues R. 15. Grau J. 12. Assuncao G. A. 11. Tunde Akinsola 14. Lucas Piazon 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene (C)
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 89. Bieszczad K. (G) 22. Busnic A. 17. Joao Reis 6. Jota Goncalves 23. Milovanovic U. 9. Petrov S. 47. Ramos P. 21. Ramos R.	8. Aburjania G. 19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 10. Lopes V. 23. Mendonca G. 20. Ribeiro R. 33. Santos A. 25. Tavares T. 88. Trigueira P. (G)
Coaches
Pereira F.	Mota J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Fonseca F. (Own goal),
20', Mercado J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Tunde Akinsola ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
45', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,
45+3', Nene 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schutte R. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
60', Nene ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
61', Semedo V. 🟨,
62', Correia A. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Assuncao G. A. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
68', Jojo ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Morschel H. (Pen),
81', Lucas Piazon ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
81', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Aburjania G. ↑,
82', Simao 🟨,
90+3', Nascimento D. 🟨,
90+4', Mercado J. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
90+4', Assuncao G. A. ↓, Santos A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vizela could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vizela: Lebedenko O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vizela: Italo Henrique (Inactive) Ruly (Inactive)

There are questionable in AVS: Lucas Fernandes (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

AVS - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
24.05.25	AVS - Vizela	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Vizela - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Porto B - Vizela	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
24.05.25	AVS - Vizela	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	AVS - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	AVS - Boavista	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Benfica - AVS	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.05.25	AVS - Vizela	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.23	AVS - Vizela	1:0

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