Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Israel	Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	AVS		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.45	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.47	3.29	3.08
	2.34	3.16	3.27
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.46	3.21	3.21	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.43)	3.2 ↓ (3.2)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
40.4%

Draw
29.6%

Boavista
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	29.4%	35.3%

AVS - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Boavista will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AVS: 12.6% – 58%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. AVS (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Boavista (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH 0 - Boavista (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Boavista (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. AVS (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Boavista (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 42. Devenish C. 6. Roux B. 27. Veiga E. 2. Fonseca F. 15. Grau J. 12. Assuncao G. A. 14. Lucas Piazon 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene (C) 11. Tunde Akinsola	31. Vaclik T. (G) 27. Kakay O. 26. Abascal R. 13. Fogning S. 20. Ferreira F. 8. van Ginkel M. 24. Perez S. (C) 7. Agra S. 16. Silva J. 21. Diaby A. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
24. Kiki 10. Lopes V. 23. Mendonca G. 20. Ribeiro R. 33. Santos A. 93. Simao (G) 25. Tavares T. 5. Teixeira J. 29. Ze Luis	11. Ariyibi G. 71. Barros J. 2. Camara I. 1. Cesar (G) 25. Dabo A. 15. Gomes P. 14. Kone M. 5. Lystsov V. 19. Vitoria S.
Coaches
Ferreira R.	Couto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Veiga E. 🟨,
43', Grau J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Bozenik R. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Nene ⚽, Lucas Piazon (A),
67', 1 - 1, Perez S. ⚽, van Ginkel M. (A),
73', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
74', Lucas Piazon ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
74', Veiga E. ↓, Kiki ↑,
76', Nene ↓, Ze Luis ↑,
77', Fonseca F. 🟨,
78', Devenish C. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
81', Abascal R. 🟨,
84', van Ginkel M. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Diaby A. ⚽, Bozenik R. (A),
90+1', Ferreira F. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
90+3', Agra S. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
90+5', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boavista's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AVS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in AVS: Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Rodrigues G. (Injury)

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Inactive) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Vukotic I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
27.04.25	Benfica - AVS	6:0 ✺
19.04.25	AVS - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Braga - AVS	4:1 ✺
04.04.25	AVS - Estoril Praia	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Famalicão - AVS	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
27.04.25	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	0:5 ✺
18.04.25	Farense - Boavista	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Boavista - Nacional	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
21.12.24	Boavista - AVS	0:0

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