Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Benfica TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
World	Onefootball


	Benfica		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.08	10	21	Watch
	1.06	11	25	Watch
	1.09	12.1	26.3
	1.11	10.07	23.21	Watch
	1.1	10	21
	1.07	14.7	34	Watch
	1.07	9.5	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.09)	11.05 ↓ (12.3)	25.93 ↓ (32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benfica
87.7%

Draw
8.6%

AVS
3.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.1%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	13.6%	0%

Benfica - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Benfica (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 62. Neto J. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 15. Lopes Cabral S. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.	1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 42. Devenish C. (C) 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas L. 27. Algobia A. 70. Roni 23. Mendonca G. 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane 20. Duarte D.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 18. Barreiro L. 72. Cabral A. 26. Dahl S. 17. Dedic A. 50. Ferreira D. (G) 9. Ivanovic F. 11. Lukebakio D. 86. Prioste D.	19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 5. Molina G. 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 33. Santos A. 35. Semedo R. 93. Simao (G)
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bah A. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Barrenechea E. ⚽, Rios R. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽, Lopes Cabral S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Otamendi N. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
46', Mateus Pivo ↓, Molina G. ↑,
46', Devenish C. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
54', Akinsola T. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
54', Mendonca G. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
71', Bah A. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
71', Schjelderup A. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
82', Rivas L. ↓, Kiki ↑,
82', Pavlidis V. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
86', Rafa Silva ↓, Prioste D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AVS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Felix N. (Knee Injury) Prestianni G. (Yellow Cards) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury) Wynder J. (Inactive)

There will not play in AVS: Baroan A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Benfica - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.02.26	Santa Clara - Benfica	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Benfica - Alverca	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tondela - Benfica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Benfica - Real Madrid	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWTW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
05.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
23.01.26	Casa Pia - AVS	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
20.09.25	AVS - Benfica	0:3
27.04.25	Benfica - AVS	6:0
15.12.24	AVS - Benfica	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
21.12.23	Benfica - AVS	4:1

Upcoming Matches