Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 2

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 1


	Volendam		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.8	3.25
	1.95	4	3.4	Watch
	2.02	4.08	3.46
	1.95	3.93	3.36	Watch
	1.91	3.9	3.1
	1.95	3.96	3.33	Watch
	1.95	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)	3.93 ↓ (4.08)	3.34 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
48.1%

Draw
23.8%

Emmen
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volendam's form might have worsened.

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emmen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volendam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Volendam - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Emmen will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lauwers B. (G) 12. Payne D. 3. Amevor M. 14. Steur D. 32. Leliendal Y. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 36. de Haan M. 6. Plat A. 11. Oehlers A. 9. Veerman H. (C) 21. Muhren R.	38. Unbehaun L. (G) 23. Hammouti F. 4. te Wierik M. (C) 6. Mulder P. 3. Vos D. 10. Hawkins J. 7. Rhein T. 26. Wagner F. 24. Nsona K. 20. Kade J. 18. Evina F.
Substitutes
15. Benamar B. 2. Beukers D. 29. Blommestijn K. 50. Curiel G. 77. Demircioglu C. 27. Hoeve Q. 19. Mau-Asam M. 34. Nazih I. 16. Ngom K. (G) 46. van der Horst M. 20. van Oevelen K. (G)	34. Bolk G. 5. Geypens T. 1. Hoekstra J. (G) 28. Jalving R. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 9. Rogulj A. 19. Sadiku A. 2. Soares J.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', te Wierik M. ↓, Soares J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vos D. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
46', Evina F. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
57', Oehlers A. ↓, Mau-Asam M. ↑,
64', Leliendal Y. 🟥,
65', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, van der Horst M. ↑,
65', Rhein T. (Pen),
70', Hammouti F. 🟨,
75', de Haan M. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
75', Steur D. ↓, Benamar B. ↑,
75', Veerman H. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Hawkins J. ⚽,
79', Hawkins J. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
90+1', Nsona K. ↓, Rogulj A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 1.

Recent matches Volendam is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emmen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Volendam will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Volendam: Mbuyamba X. (Red Card)

There will not play in Emmen: Mpindi Landu C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Volendam: Maulun R. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Volendam won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.08.24	De Graafschap - Volendam	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Jong Ajax - Volendam	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	RKAV Volendam - Volendam	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Volendam - Deinze	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Volendam - Al-Shamal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWTW
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.08.24	Emmen - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Emmen - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Emmen	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Emmen - Verl	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Groningen - Emmen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.03.23	Volendam - Emmen	3:1
14.10.22	Emmen - Volendam	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.22	Emmen - Volendam	4:1
05.11.21	Volendam - Emmen	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.10.21	Volendam - Emmen	0:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.04.18	Emmen - Volendam	2:3
24.11.17	Volendam - Emmen	2:3

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