Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	Volendam		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.48	3.55	2.72
	2.42	3.55	2.79
	2.78	2.84	2.83	Watch
	2.51	3.6	2.74	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.71)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	2.72 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
37.1%

Draw
27.8%

Zwolle
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	53.3%	33.3%

Volendam - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Zwolle will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Volendam (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 6. Plat A. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 40. van Cruijsen R. 17. Ideho J. 9. Veerman H. (C)	16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 25. Oosting T. 19. Faberski J. 7. Shoretire S. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
33. Dyer K. 7. Kokcu O. 4. Mbuyamba X. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 2. Payne D. 16. Steur R. (G) 22. Vlak D. (G) 24. Wong-A-Soij K. 8. Yah G. 19. Zijlstra M.	29. Buitink T. 34. Fichtinger N. 6. Gooijer T. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 38. Renwarin G. 42. Ruward D. 1. Schendelaar J. (G) 41. Verduin D. (G) 39. Voute D.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Veerman H. ⚽, Ideho J. (A),
31', Oosting T. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, de Rooij K. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aertssen O. ↓, Voute D. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Kuwas B. ⚽, van Cruijsen R. (A),
56', Plat A. ↓, Yah G. ↑,
63', Shoretire S. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
64', Faberski J. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
66', Gooijer T. 🟨,
73', Ideho J. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
74', Bukala N. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
79', van Cruijsen R. 🟨,
82', van Cruijsen R. ↓, Mbuyamba X. ↑,
82', Veerman H. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
87', Voute D. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
87', Oosting T. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
90+2', Oehlers A. 🟨,
90+5', Pereira da Gama J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).

Volendam is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zwolle has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zwolle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Zwolle: Schendelaar J. (Knee Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Fichtinger N. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Volendam - Ajax	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Volendam - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLTTT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
24.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ajax - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Zwolle - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.03.24	Zwolle - Volendam	1:1
02.12.23	Volendam - Zwolle	0:5
Club Friendly
08.07.21	Zwolle - Volendam	0:2
28.07.17	Volendam - Zwolle	2:2

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