Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Volna Stadium (Pinsk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Volna Pinsk		Minsk

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.39
	5.8	4.4	1.39
	6.15	4.6	1.39
	4.62	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (3.83)	4.43 ↑ (4)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Pinsk
16.1%

Draw
20.5%

Minsk
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

23%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.6%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volna Pinsk's form might have worsened.

Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volna Pinsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Volna Pinsk - Minsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Volna Pinsk (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volna Pinsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Letsko S. (G) 14. Baranov I. 6. Belous A. 77. Gitselev Z. 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 8. Kovalev D. 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 21. Syrisko V.	1. Ignatiev V. (G) 32. Abena F. 99. Borubaev G. 66. Campo F. 49. Denisyuk A. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 29. Dubinets I. 81. Natama N. 11. Simanenka T. 79. Sviridenko I. 5. Zhevnerov E.
Substitutes
1. Asonov A. (G) 22. Bulychev A. 88. German D. 7. Kovalevich K. 67. Samuilik A. 20. Terletskiy R.	47. Drachev Z. 4. Grekovich V. 22. Makas A. 33. Malitskiy K. 8. Migdalenok A. 9. Penchuk S. 37. Sukharenko M. (G) 55. Tumanov A. 17. Varaksa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Dubinets I. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Simanenka T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, Sviridenko I. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Matyash D. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Polkhovskiy K. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Volna Pinsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volna Pinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Volna Pinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.07.25	Volna Pinsk - Orsha	5:1 ✺
29.06.25	Gomel 2 - Volna Pinsk	0:5 ✺
21.06.25	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Belarus U19 - Volna Pinsk	1:3 ✺
01.06.25	Osipovichi - Volna Pinsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.25	BATE Borisov - Minsk	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Neman Grodno - Minsk	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Minsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:5 ✺
01.06.25	Smorgon - Minsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
05.07.17	Volna Pinsk - Minsk	0:1

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