Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)


	Volta Redonda		Bahia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.45	3	2.1
	3.78	3.1	2.1
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.54	3.3	2.04
	3.4	3.2	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	3.14 ↑ (2.92)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
26.1%

Draw
29.4%

Bahia
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Volta Redonda - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Volta Redonda have a series of guest games.

Bahia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.03.23	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	7:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
12.03.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Boavista - Volta Redonda	3:3 ✺
04.03.23	Madureira - Volta Redonda	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWWTW
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.04.23	Bahia - Jacuipense	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Jacuipense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Bahia - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.03.23	Bahia - Itabuna	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.03.23	Fluminense Piaui - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWT

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