Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 6

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)


	Volta Redonda		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.16	3.17	3.52
	2.2	3.1	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.29	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.48)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
42.9%

Draw
28.8%

Grêmio Novorizontino
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Novorizontino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 18. Caio Henrique 4. Fabricio (C) 15. Joao Valenca 28. Juninho Monteiro 27. Kaua Souza 23. Matheus Moresche 16. Pedro Costa 17. Wagninho	12. Joao Scapin (G) 32. Antony 97. Bruninho 90. Gabriel Correia 35. Hector Bianchi (C) 23. Jhones 56. Luduena Coronel M. 38. Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. 41. Reidiney 36. Tavares Miguel 49. Zenatti P.
Substitutes
5. Bruno Barra 29. Caetano 8. Dener 20. Du Fernandes 12. Heitor Silva (G) 25. Juliano Fabro 30. Juninho Ramos 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 11. MV 26. Romarinho 14. Zuniga Y.	60. Bahia L. 34. Edson Nogueira 70. Geres Matheus 55. Goncalves L. 80. Hobold G. (G) 61. Kaique 54. Santos B. 72. Tiago

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Luduena Coronel M. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Luduena Coronel M. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Blanco O. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Volta Redonda - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Volta Redonda - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Caxias - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.08.25	Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
12.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda	1:0

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