Match Info

HNL - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Osijek		Vukovar 91

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.87	3.5	3.9
	1.98	3.35	3.6
	1.93	3.2	4.58
	1.91	3.42	4.02	Watch
	2	3.1	3.75
	2	3.37	3.9	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	3.98 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
48.7%

Draw
27.9%

Vukovar 91
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Osijek - Vukovar 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (G) 29. Karacic F. 26. Jelenic L. 33. Hasic E. 3. Barisic B. (C) 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 21. Bubanja V. 39. Bukvic D. 99. Teklic T. 11. Omerovic N. 17. Jakupovic A.	22. Pintol D. (G) 16. Pavicic K. 34. Tadic M. 26. Elez J. 91. Ticinovic M. 13. Caic V. 20. Cabrajic K. 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 19. Jurilj A.
Substitutes
57. Akere S. 38. Colina D. 1. Curcija N. (G) 36. Dedic J. 98. Jovicic M. 22. Jurisic R. 49. Kolarik I. 34. Matkovic A. 5. Mersinaj J. 8. Mikolcic S. 16. Petrusenko O. 42. Renan Guedes	8. Bosec A. 39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 27. Butic S. 7. Calhanoglu K. 42. Djakovic A. (G) 35. Gurlica J. 23. Jergovic D. 33. Klanac L. 50. Spoljaric J. 5. Vlasenko N.
Coaches
Radotic T.	Cabraja S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Jurilj A. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
60', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
64', Pavicic K. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
64', Cabrajic K. ↓, Bosec A. ↑,
65', Barisic B. ↓, Jurisic R. ↑,
65', Omerovic N. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
68', Karacic F. 🟨,
74', Teklic T. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
74', Karacic F. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
77', Bubanja V. 🟨,
79', Gurlica J. 🟨,
84', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
86', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
87', Gonzalez R. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
90+3', Hasic E. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Akere S. ⚽, Mikolcic S. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 9).

Osijek is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vukovar 91's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Osijek is the team to beat.

There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N. (Inactive) Shopov S. (Knee Injury) Toure Y. (Inactive) Vrbancic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J. (Inactive) Djakovic A. (Injury) Shabani E. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Osijek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
21.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Osijek - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Osijek - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL
- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
20.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Gorica - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
28.11.25	Vukovar 91 - Osijek	2:2
14.09.25	Osijek - Vukovar 91	4:0
Club Friendly
08.10.21	Vukovar 91 - Osijek	1:4
Croatian Cup
21.09.16	Vukovar 91 - Osijek	1:4

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