Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.57
	4.75	4.15	1.6
	4.34	4.02	1.73
	4.15	3.90	1.70	Watch
	4.66	4.1	1.63
	3.95	3.9	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.17)	4.05 ↑ (3.91)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
21%

Draw
23%

Aalesunds
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.7%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moss - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aalesunds will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 6. Lassen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 46. Kvale W. 17. Andersen P. 9. Musbaudeen J. 15. Engesvik A. A. 34. Fuglestad N. 47. Rossi L. 11. Jakobsen T.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 21. Christensen M. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. 16. Orsahl J. 39. Lonebu K. 9. Ngongo P. (C)
Substitutes
49. Afonso M. 23. Barros J. 21. Gronli S. 29. Mayonga M. 19. Memedov A. 5. Race E. 12. Sundling J. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H. 24. Welinder M.	23. Froysa E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Ngongo P. (Pen),
39', Ngongo P. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Rossi L. ⚽, Andersen P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jakobsen T. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
52', Rossi L. 🟨,
65', Andersen P. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
69', Lonebu K. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
69', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
69', Orsahl J. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
77', Rossi L. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
77', Engesvik A. A. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
82', Kvale W. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
90', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Moss has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aalesunds is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Aalesunds is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aalesunds will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moss won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Moss won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Egersund - Moss	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Moss - Kongsvinger	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Lyn - Moss	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Moss - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
20.09.25	Hødd - Moss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Aalesunds - Lyn	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	0:6 ✺
04.10.25	Aalesunds - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Odd - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Lysekloster - Aalesunds	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Aalesunds - Moss	2:0
10.08.24	Aalesunds - Moss	1:0
01.06.24	Moss - Aalesunds	1:0

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