Match Info

Date: 19 May 2021, Wednesday


	Vélez Sársfield		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.37	4.7	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.2
	1.37	5.21	7.54
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.9	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.38)	4.85 ↑ (4.67)	7.49 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
68.2%

Draw
19.3%

Unión La Calera
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.4%

17.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Unión La Calera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Vélez Sársfield - Unión La Calera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Unión La Calera is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vélez is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vélez to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Unión La Calera
Copa Libertadores
11.05.21	Unión La Calera - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.05.21	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.05.21	Unión La Calera - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Flamengo - Unión La Calera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield	0:2

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