Match Info

Date: 13 May 2021, Thursday


	Vélez Sársfield		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.75
	1.72	3.75	4.4	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.5
	1.71	3.83	4.74
	1.7	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.46)	3.8 ↓ (4.21)	4.74 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
55.5%

Draw
24.7%

LDU Quito
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

18.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	9.4%	53.1%

Vélez Sársfield - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	LDU Quito - Vélez Sársfield	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.05.21	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.05.21	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	LDU Quito - Vélez Sársfield	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Unión La Calera - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	LDU Quito - Vélez Sársfield	3:1

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