Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Würzburger Kickers		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.75	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.94
	3.55	3.7	1.93
	3.71	3.99	1.96
	3.6	3.7	1.91
	3.55	3.95	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.46)	3.78 ↑ (3.55)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
26.2%

Draw
25%

Darmstadt
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

20.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Würzburger Kickers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	6.1%	78.8%

Würzburger Kickers - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga and 12).

Würzburger Kickers has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has not chance of promoted.

Darmstadt has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Würzburger Kickers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Darmstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Würzburger Kickers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Würzburger Kickers have a series of guest games.

Darmstadt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
17.04.21	St. Pauli - Würzburger Kickers	4:0 ✺
11.04.21	Würzburger Kickers - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
08.04.21	Hannover - Würzburger Kickers	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Sandhausen - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.21	Stuttgart - Würzburger Kickers	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWLL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
16.04.21	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
09.04.21	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
20.03.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Darmstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.20	Darmstadt - Würzburger Kickers	2:0
Club Friendly
12.01.18	Darmstadt - Würzburger Kickers	0:0

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