Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 25

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Waalwijk		FC Oss

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.8
	1.68	4.15	4.45	Watch
	1.62	4	4.3
	1.68	4.13	4.44	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.4
	1.68	3.85	4.69	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	4.03 ↓ (4.66)	4.52 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
56.4%

Draw
23%

FC Oss
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.

FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Oss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Waalwijk - FC Oss Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Waalwijk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 35. Postma L. 15. Wouters L. 33. Al Mazyani F. 18. van Hedel R. 20. Kuster H. 8. van Kaam D. 55. Held N. 9. Uneken J. 11. van der Leij T.	1. Havekotte M. (C) 20. Van Hove B. 2. Miguel L. 14. Mariani M. 26. Kuijpers J. 23. Vianello D. 11. Remans M. 8. Esajas M. 22. Erkan M. 9. Wildeboer T. 7. Slagveer L.
Substitutes
26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 13. Mulder X. (G) 28. van Beekveld Q. 30. van der Veen Y. 10. van der Venne R. 3. van Eijma R. 25. Witteveen M.	31. Bernardina J. 27. de Lannoy M. 33. de Wit K. 17. Hinoke M. 19. Marhoum Y. 12. Milder S. (G) 28. Mol L. 3. Pata I. 18. Pinto N. 16. Remie D. (G) 5. van de Wiel M. 6. van Rooijen M.
Coaches
Duits S.	Ultee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Remans M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Kuijpers J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Uneken J. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Kuijpers J. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
63', Erkan M. ↓, de Lannoy M. ↑,
63', Remans M. ↓, de Wit K. ↑,
76', Slagveer L. ↓, Hinoke M. ↑,
77', van Hedel R. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽, Kuster H. (A),
84', Esajas M. ↓, van Rooijen M. ↑,
85', van Gelderen L. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
85', van der Leij T. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Oss has had a series of home games.

In this match, Waalwijk is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Cleonise D. (Injury) Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oss: Cox T. (Broken Leg)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Waalwijk: 7.38%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14
13	Oss	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.26	Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	2:4 ✺
18.01.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.25	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLW
- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Roda - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	FC Oss - Emmen	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	FC Oss - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	FC Oss - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	FC Oss - Waalwijk	0:0
Club Friendly
16.07.19	FC Oss - Waalwijk	0:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.01.19	FC Oss - Waalwijk	1:2
12.10.18	Waalwijk - FC Oss	0:0
06.04.18	FC Oss - Waalwijk	3:1
24.11.17	Waalwijk - FC Oss	2:1
10.03.17	Waalwijk - FC Oss	3:0

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