Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	De Graafschap		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.82	Watch
	2.08	3.95	2.98	Watch
	2.14	4.12	3.01
	2.17	4.11	2.78	Watch
	2.1	3.8	2.88
	2.14	3.97	2.86	Watch
	2.05	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.11)	3.99 ↑ (3.58)	2.89 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
44.3%

Draw
23.4%

Waalwijk
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	5.6%	27.8%

De Graafschap - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Graafschap will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Graafschap: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Graafschap (votes: 2 - 40%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Waalwijk (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Graafschap (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Waalwijk (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 18. Bultman S. 15. Kok T. 5. Schoppema L. 24. Meerstadt J. 8. Gijselhart T. 7. Simons J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 22. de Jong F. 28. Boersma B.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 35. Postma L. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 3. van Eijma R. 33. Al Mazyani F. 8. van Kaam D. 18. van Hedel R. 20. Kuster H. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 11. van der Leij T. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
27. Ahmeti N. 32. Broker S. 38. Eijken D. 19. El Allachi C. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.	26. Bramel T. (G) 55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 13. Mulder X. (G) 6. Roemeratoe G. 14. van Beekveld Q. 30. van der Veen Y. 10. van der Venne R. 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Boersma B. 🟨,
27', Kuster H. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Familia-Castillo J. ⚽, van Kaam D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', van der Leij T. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Kuster H. ⚽, Al Mazyani F. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Simons J. ⚽,
57', Raterink O. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
57', de Jong F. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
66', Uneken J. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
68', Postma L. 🟨,
75', Kuster H. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
75', van Hedel R. ↓, Held N. ↑,
77', Simons J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
77', Bultman S. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, van der Veen Y. ⚽,
83', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
84', 1 - 4, Held N. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
85', van Kaam D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
86', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Boersma B. ⚽, Kwint K. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in De Graafschap: El Kadiri I. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Waalwijk: van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Waalwijk: 7.38% De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

De Graafschap - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.26	Almere City - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	FC Oss - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	De Graafschap - Roda	2:3 ✺
08.12.25	Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
04.12.25	Vitesse - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.25	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	HSC 21 - Waalwijk	0:9 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4
30.03.18	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	1:0
02.09.17	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	0:0
07.04.17	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	4:0
25.11.16	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	2:1
09.02.15	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	0:5
25.08.14	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	1:1

De Graafschap - Waalwijk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide