Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 11

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Burton Albion		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.55	3.56	2.14
	3.49	3.39	2.07	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.15
	3.55	3.55	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.02)	3.41 ↓ (3.44)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
27.2%

Draw
27.7%

Charlton Athletic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Charlton will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. (C) 17. Armer J. 8. Webster C. 21. Bannon A. 34. Whitfield B. 12. Hazlehurst J. 7. Kalinauskas T. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 23. Edmonds-Green R. 4. Mitchell A. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 18. Anderson K. 9. Ahadme G. 8. Berry L. 11. Leaburn M. 24. Godden M. (C)
Substitutes
32. Bennett M. 11. Bodin B. 18. Burrell R. 16. Cooper-Love J. 25. Gilligan C. 13. Isted H. (G) 19. Williams D.	28. Campbell A. 7. Campbell T. 14. Hylton D. 38. Laqeretabua J. 37. Reid T. (G) 26. Small T. 12. Taylor T.
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ahadme G. 🟨,
32', Edmonds-Green R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Ahadme G. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
60', Anderson K. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
68', Webster C. 🟥,
68', Taylor T. 🟨,
69', Campbell T. 🟨,
70', Hazlehurst J. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
75', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
82', Edmonds-Green R. ↓, Small T. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Coventry C. ⚽,
84', Whitfield B. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
87', Leaburn M. ↓, Hylton D. ↑,
87', Godden M. ↓, Laqeretabua J. ↑,
89', Berry L. 🟨,
90+1', Small T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 1.

Burton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Charlton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Burton have a series of home games.

Charlton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Burton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.6:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:5 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Burton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWTW
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
23.11.24	Huddersfield Town - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Charlton Athletic - Bromley	1:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Southend United - Charlton Athletic	3:4 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Chelsea U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.01.24	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	2:0
23.12.23	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	1:1
10.04.23	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	3:2
12.11.22	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	3:3
19.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	2:0
13.11.21	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	0:1
23.02.21	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	1:2

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