Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.4	2.65
	2.63	3.41	2.74
	2.57	3.32	2.67	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.58	3.42	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	2.65 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
36.8%

Draw
27.7%

Charlton Athletic
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Exeter City - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 4. Crama T. 3. Purrington B. 14. Niskanen I. 10. Aitchison J. 6. Woods R. 8. Francis E. 11. Alli M. 27. Magennis J.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 20. Mitchell Z. 4. Mitchell A. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 10. Docherty G. (C) 12. Taylor T. 6. Coventry C. 28. Campbell A. 11. Leaburn M. 24. Godden M.
Substitutes
31. Bird J. 19. Cox S. 20. Doyle K. 5. Fitzwater J. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 7. Mitchell D. 17. Watts C.	9. Ahadme G. 8. Berry L. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 17. Edun T. 14. Hylton D. 37. Reid T. (G) 26. Small T.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Woods R. 🟨,
39', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Crama T. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
67', Taylor T. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
67', Campbell A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
73', Alli M. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
74', Aitchison J. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
74', Coventry C. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
84', Francis E. ↓, Fitzwater J. ↑,
90', Magennis J. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
90+2', Niskanen I. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0.

Recent matches Exeter is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Charlton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Exeter City - Barnet	5:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Exeter City - Reading	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW
- Charlton Athletic
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Southend United - Charlton Athletic	3:4 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Chelsea U21	3:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Barnsley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.03.24	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:1
03.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:1
04.02.23	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:2
11.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:2
English League Cup
08.08.17	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:2
English League One
28.01.12	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	N/A

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