Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.71
	2.21	2.97	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.22	3.43	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.42 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
43.3%

Draw
29.4%

Chrobry Głogów
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 20. Szeliga B. 26. Michalski K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 10. Zurawski M. 3. Kielb J. (C) 21. Adamski R. 9. Firlej M.	99. Arndt D. (G) 96. Szarek P. 44. Zarowny A. 35. Marcinkowski E. 29. Tupaj P. 80. Tabis K. 19. Mucha P. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 77. Hanc D. 20. Szwedzik P. 90. Lewandowski M.
Substitutes
2. Bartkowski J. 7. Gaska D. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 19. Jozwicki K. 15. Kopczynski M. 29. Mackowiak M. 23. Pawlowski S. 17. Sarbinowski S. 77. Walus F.	14. Biel B. 24. Grzelak K. 11. Lebedynski M. 23. Lewkot S. 33. Malczuk N. 9. Ozimek M. 10. Szczutowski A. . Taira Y. 1. Wroblewski K. (G)
Coaches
Klepczarek P.	Plewnia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
29', Lewandowski M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Szeliga B. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Michalski K. ↓, Mackowiak M. ↑,
50', Tabis K. 🟨,
62', Wojcinowicz T. 🟥,
64', Gryszkiewicz A. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
67', Tupaj P. ↓, Lebedynski M. ↑,
73', Zarowny A. ↓, Lewkot S. ↑,
74', Plesnierowicz W. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
74', Zurawski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
87', Tabis K. ↓, Szczutowski A. ↑,
87', Szwedzik P. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
89', Tkachuk Y. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 1.

Recent matches Warta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chrobry is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chrobry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Warta won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Mieszko Gniezno - Warta Poznań	1:6 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
25.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.24	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:0
08.07.23	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:1
Polish Division 1
30.06.20	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
05.10.19	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	0:0
03.05.19	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	1:1
21.10.18	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	2:1
Club Friendly
20.02.16	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	1:0

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