Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.78	3.76	4.41
	1.8	3.54	4.4	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.4	4.71	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.6)	3.44 ↓ (3.77)	4.63 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
53%

Draw
27%

Warta Poznań
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Warta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Turk M. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 17. Lukic A. 20. Szymanski S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 23. Mezghrani M. 27. Szwoch M. 24. Baranski B. 7. Kozak M. 86. Novothny S. 28. Borowski F.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 44. Markov I. 26. Michalski K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 3. Kielb J. 20. Szeliga B. 77. Walus F. 9. Firlej M. 21. Adamski R.
Substitutes
26. Gora L. 38. Karasinski S. 77. Laski W. 19. Lipinski K. 13. Moneta L. 11. Myszor J. 14. Nono 95. Szczepan D. 1. Szymanski J. (G)	97. Cichocki M. 7. Gaska D. 15. Kopczynski M. 29. Mackowiak M. 14. Norkowski L. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 27. Przybylko K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 10. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Klepczarek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Novothny S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adamski R. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
46', Borowski F. ↓, Myszor J. ↑,
54', Szwoch M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Michalski K. ⚽,
62', Szymanski S. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Sadlok M. ⚽,
68', Novothny S. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
68', Sadlok M. ↓, Gora L. ↑,
68', Kozak M. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
71', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
80', Walus F. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
80', Bartkowski J. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
85', Kielb J. ↓, Wojcinowicz T. ↑,
85', Michalski K. 🟨,
87', Baranski B. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
88', Szczepan D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Warta have a series of guest games.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
21.10.24	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	1:4 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Mieszko Gniezno - Warta Poznań	1:6 ✺
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	0:0
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2

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