Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 17

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Warta Poznań		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.27	3.18	2.42
	3.41	3.22	2.33
	2.88	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.13	3.2	2.33	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
29.3%

Draw
29.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis A. (G) 14. Tiru B. 4. Stavropoulos D. 22. Matuszewski K. 28. Borowski F. 16. Luis M. 21. Kupczak M. 47. Prikryl T. 6. Zurawski M. 29. Vizinger D. 7. Szmyt K.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanchuk T. 8. Nene 7. Marczuk D. 28. Naranjo J. 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J.
Substitutes
9. Eppel M. 33. Grobelny J. (G) 97. Kaminski W. 3. Kielb J. 15. Kopczynski M. 31. Krzyzak O. 8. Maenpaa N. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 77. Savic S.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 18. Kupisz T. 36. Lewicki J. 98. Matheus V. 32. Matysik M. 19. Olszewski P. 3. Stojinovic D. 21. Toporkiewicz K. 38. Wojdakowski D.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Siemieniec A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Warta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.11.23	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
10.11.23	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.23	Stal Brzeg - Warta Poznań	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.10.23	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWWT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.11.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
08.11.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	3:1
15.10.22	Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.02.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	1:1
27.08.21	Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
25.04.21	Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0
05.12.20	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	4:3

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