Match Info

Division 2 - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	2.92
	2.17	3.36	3.18
	2.32	3.32	2.90	Watch
	2.26	3.14	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.07)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)	2.94 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
40.7%

Draw
28.3%

Podhale Nowy Targ
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Warta Poznań - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 9. Stanek M. 17. Stefaniak M. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 74. Zalewski S. 21. Zylla M.	1. Styrczula M. (C) 20. Chojecki A. 99. Giel P. 30. Kumorek M. 87. Kurzeja B. 42. Lipien M. 19. Michota M. 10. Nowak A. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R.
Substitutes
16. Kornobis I. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 13. Niedzielski J. . Rychlik J. . Steblecki S. 19. Szymanek K. . Tonder F. . Wojciechowski I.	77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 14. Hamed M. 29. Marcinho 23. Mikolajczyk B. 27. Pena C. 11. Purcha B. 16. Rubis J. 21. Vosko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Avdeev D. 🟨,
40', Nowak A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Stanek M. ↓, Tonder F. ↑,
58', Walus F. ↓, Szymanek K. ↑,
58', Zalewski S. ↓, Kornobis I. ↑,
60', Jakubowski F. 🟨,
66', Lipien M. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
67', Giel P. ↓, Hamed M. ↑,
71', Nowak A. ↓, Mikolajczyk B. ↑,
71', Kumoch K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
72', Dziedzic K. ↓, Niedzielski J. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽,
80', Kornobis I. 🟨,
84', Chojecki A. ↓, Rubis J. ↑,
84', Seweryn L. ↓, Vosko P. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Tonder F. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Warta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Podhale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Podhale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Warta Poznań - KKS Kalisz	4:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Warta Poznań - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
02.11.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Swit Skolwin - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - ŁKS Łódź II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW

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