Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 31

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Warta Poznań		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.87
	2.4	3.2	2.95
	2.54	3.24	2.87
	2.38	3.18	3.28
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.44	3.15	2.96	Watch
	2.33	3.1	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.53)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
39.2%

Draw
29.3%

Widzew Łódź
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 20. Mezghrani M. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 6. Zurawski M. 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 99. Zrelak A. 16. Luis M.	1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 5. Szota S. 4. Zyro M. 15. Ibiza 2. Silva L. 44. Diliberto N. 10. Alvarez F. 19. Pawlowski B. (C) 14. Ciganiks A. 9. Sanchez J. 47. Klimek A.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 9. Eppel M. 3. Kielb J. 15. Kopczynski M. 1. Lis A. (G) 47. Prikryl T. 24. Rychlik P. 77. Savic S. 29. Vizinger D.	78. Cybulski K. 62. Kastrati L. II. 35. Krajcirik I. (G) 22. Kun D. 7. Milos M. 92. Nunes F. 99. Rondic I. 8. Tkacz D. 23. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ciganiks A. (Own goal),
12', 2 - 0, Kupczak M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
16', Zurawski M. ↓, Prikryl T. ↑,
20', Milos M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Klimek A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mezghrani M. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
46', Diliberto N. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
46', Szota S. ↓, Milos M. ↑,
62', Ciganiks A. ↓, Nunes F. ↑,
62', Klimek A. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
72', Luis M. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
78', Matuszewski K. 🟨,
80', Matuszewski K. ↓, Kielb J. ↑,
80', Zrelak A. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 3.

Recent matches Warta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Widzew is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
12.04.24	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLT
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.24	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	5:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.11.23	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:1
04.03.23	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2
20.08.22	Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź	0:1
Club Friendly
22.01.21	Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź	3:1
06.02.19	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2
07.02.18	Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź	0:1

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