Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Piast Gliwice		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.9	4.75	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.4
	1.9	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.96	3.05	5.24
	1.93	2.99	5.24
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.93	3.15	4.38	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.79)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	4.67 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
48.9%

Draw
31%

Warta Poznań
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	36%	16%

Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Warta will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (C) 77. Pyrka A. 2. Mosor A. 5. Huk T. 22. Mokwa T. 16. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 19. Ameyaw M. 30. Szczepanski M. 96. Kostadinov T. 10. Wilczek K.	33. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 20. Mezghrani M. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 8. Maenpaa N. 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 99. Zrelak A. 16. Luis M.
Substitutes
6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 24. Hateley T. 14. Holubek J. 11. Kadzior D. 44. Krykun S. 3. Miguelito 33. Szymanski K. (G) 99. Urbanski P.	28. Borowski F. 9. Eppel M. 3. Kielb J. 15. Kopczynski M. 1. Lis A. (G) 47. Prikryl T. 77. Savic S. 29. Vizinger D. 6. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Vukovic A.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Wilczek K. ⚽, Kostadinov T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Luis M. ↓, Eppel M. ↑,
66', Matuszewski K. ↓, Prikryl T. ↑,
71', Wilczek K. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
79', Zrelak A. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
79', Bartkowski J. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
83', Szczepanski M. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
83', Kostadinov T. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
86', Mezghrani M. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Tomasiewicz G. ⚽,
90', Ameyaw M. ↓, Urbanski P. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piast won 1.

Recent matches Piast is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Piast is a favorite.

There will not play in Piast: Czerwinski J. (Yellow Cards) Piasecki F. (Injury) Wilczek K. (Injury)

There will not play in Warta: Kielb J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Piast: Mucha S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Piast won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
03.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.03.24	Piast Gliwice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
12.04.24	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
28.10.23	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:1
22.05.23	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:1
05.11.22	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:2
29.04.22	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	2:3
06.11.21	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:1
22.02.21	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:1
12.09.20	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	0:0

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