Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3


	Ruch Chorzów		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.31	3.35	3.32
	2.31	3.28	3.32
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.22	3.3	3.21	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.35)	3.32 ↑ (3.1)	3.16 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
42.1%

Draw
28.2%

Widzew Łódź
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Widzew will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stipica D. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 5. Wojtowicz T. 8. Sikora P. (C) 7. Letniowski J. 77. Bartolewski M. 86. Novothny S. 95. Szczepan D. 13. Moneta L.	1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 5. Szota S. 4. Zyro M. 15. Ibiza 2. Silva L. 25. Hanousek Mar. 92. Nunes F. 10. Alvarez F. 19. Pawlowski B. (C) 47. Klimek A. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 19. Feliks M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 70. Kozak M. 21. Sadlok M. 22. Starzynski F. 4. Szur P. 88. Vlkanova A.	14. Ciganiks A. 78. Cybulski K. 88. Dawid I. 44. Diliberto N. 35. Krajcirik I. (G) 22. Kun D. 99. Rondic I. 13. Terpilowski E. 23. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Silva L. ⚽, Pawlowski B. (A),
31', Ibiza 🟨,
45', Nunes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
61', Moneta L. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
70', Letniowski J. ↓, Starzynski F. ↑,
70', Szczepan D. ↓, Vlkanova A. ↑,
75', Nunes F. ↓, Cybulski K. ↑,
75', Sanchez J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Kozak M. ⚽, Vlkanova A. (A),
81', Klimek A. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
85', Stepinski P. 🟨,
89', Alvarez F. 🟨,
90+5', Bartolewski M. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 3, Pawlowski B. (Pen),
90+13', 2 - 3, Kozak M. ⚽, Wojtowicz T. (A),
90+13', Alvarez F. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
90+13', Pawlowski B. ↓, Diliberto N. ↑,
90:00, Pawlowski B. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Śląski.

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0.

Ruch Chorzów is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Widzew is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruch Chorzów will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	5:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Raków Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.04.24	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Łęczna	4:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.24	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.11.23	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
Club Friendly
28.01.22	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
Polish Division 2
04.05.19	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	3:0
20.10.18	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	1:3
Club Friendly
01.07.18	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	0:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.14	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:1
25.09.13	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:1

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