Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Wazito		Tusker

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.75	1.98
	4	2.75	2
	4.2	3.05	1.83
	4.6	2.75	2.01
	3.75	2.75	2
	3.92	3.08	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.54)	2.86 ↓ (2.98)	1.97 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wazito
22.3%

Draw
31.7%

Tusker
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

23.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wazito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wazito than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wazito - Tusker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wazito won 0.

Recent matches Wazito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tusker is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tusker could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tusker will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wazito won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wazito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wazito FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.03.22	Wazito - Kariobangi Sharks	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Police FC - Wazito	2:3 ✺
12.02.22	Wazito - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
05.02.22	Ulinzi Stars - Wazito	1:0 ✺
24.01.22	Wazito - Bandari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLLT
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
05.03.22	Tusker - Police FC	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	Sofapaka - Tusker	0:2 ✺
16.02.22	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Bandari - Tusker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
30.10.21	Tusker - Wazito	2:0
21.05.21	Wazito - Tusker	1:1
05.02.21	Tusker - Wazito	1:0
23.02.20	Tusker - Wazito	1:1
11.12.19	Wazito - Tusker	0:1
17.06.18	Tusker - Wazito	1:1
25.04.18	Wazito - Tusker	0:1

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