The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Welling United 21.3%
Draw 22.9%
Billericay Town 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
23.9%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
23.7%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Welling United - Billericay Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Ruff C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Ufuah J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Smith S. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 2 - 2, Bonne M. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
Billericay is Qualified for Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welling won 2.
Welling is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Billericay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Welling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Billericay is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Welling won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Welling won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Welling: 14.94%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Welling
10
8
0
2
20:9
11
24
Last Results with these Odds
Welling United - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 23.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Billericay Town - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.4%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.