Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.49
	5.5	4	1.55
	5.71	3.96	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.6
	5.56	3.95	1.54
	5.5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.33)	3.89 ↑ (3.6)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
16.5%

Draw
23.8%

Boreham Wood
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.9%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.7%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boreham Wood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Welling United - Boreham Wood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Appiah K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 0.

Welling is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boreham Wood is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boreham Wood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boreham Wood is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Welling won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
14.01.25	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3 ✺
11.01.25	Torquay United - Welling United	3:1 ✺
07.01.25	Welling United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Welling United - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Boreham Wood
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Boreham Wood - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
26.12.24	Enfield Town - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Boreham Wood - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Boreham Wood - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.09.24	Boreham Wood - Welling United	6:0
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Boreham Wood - Welling United	1:0
English National League
30.04.16	Welling United - Boreham Wood	0:3
10.10.15	Boreham Wood - Welling United	2:0
English National League South
20.04.13	Boreham Wood - Welling United	1:1
05.02.13	Welling United - Boreham Wood	4:0

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