Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 25

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Welling United		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.23)	3.1 ↓ (3.38)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
34.6%

Draw
29.2%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hampton & Richmond Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Welling United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hampton & Richmond Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Redfearn J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Jalloh I. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Kennedy G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, Vilhete M. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Vilhete M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 2.

Welling is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hampton & Richmond is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hampton & Richmond have a series of home games.

Hampton & Richmond will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Welling won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:19 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
11.01.25	Torquay United - Welling United	3:1 ✺
07.01.25	Welling United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Welling United - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Salisbury - Welling United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
English National League South
26.12.24	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	3:2 ✺
10.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.03.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1
30.01.24	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1
25.04.23	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0
08.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1
15.03.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	2:1
26.10.21	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3
11.02.20	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1

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