Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.33
	1.66	3.7	4.1
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.85	4.57
	1.71	3.8	4.57
	1.65	3.7	4.2
	1.68	3.86	4.4
	1.74	3.7	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.97)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	4.33 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
54.3%

Draw
24.5%

Welling United
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

25.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braintree Town's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braintree Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Braintree Town - Welling United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Welling will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Braintree won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
11.11.23	Eastbourne Borough - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Braintree Town - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Welling United
English National League South
11.11.23	Welling United - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
07.11.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Weymouth - Welling United	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Welling United - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.02.23	Welling United - Braintree Town	0:2
25.10.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1
25.01.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	2:2
16.10.21	Welling United - Braintree Town	1:0
08.12.20	Braintree Town - Welling United	1:1
16.11.19	Welling United - Braintree Town	6:2
27.01.18	Welling United - Braintree Town	3:0

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