Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Welling United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.67
	4.33	3.7	1.62
	4.5	4	1.65
	4.4	3.8	1.77
	4.4	3.76	1.78
	4.4	3.8	1.69
	4.4	3.7	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (5.08)	3.77 ↓ (4.1)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
20.8%

Draw
24.6%

Yeovil Town
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.6%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22.3%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeovil Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Welling United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Recent matches Welling is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yeovil is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Welling could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Welling won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Welling United - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
07.11.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Weymouth - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTT
- Yeovil Town
English National League South
21.11.23	Chippenham Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Yeovil Town - Farnborough	4:2 ✺
11.11.23	Yeovil Town - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
14.12.19	Yeovil Town - Welling United	3:1

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