Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.35	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.71
	2.52	3.34	2.72
	2.3	3.3	2.62
	2.43	3.4	2.66
	2.31	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	2.7 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
38.6%

Draw
27.4%

Welling United
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dover won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
04.11.23	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	4:0 ✺
23.10.23	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Eastleigh - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTTL
- Welling United
English National League South
04.11.23	Weymouth - Welling United	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Welling United - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Torquay United - Welling United	5:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Boreham Wood - Welling United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.04.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	0:0
27.09.22	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:2
24.07.18	Dover Athletic - Welling United	1:0
25.07.17	Dover Athletic - Welling United	5:0
English National League
08.03.16	Dover Athletic - Welling United	2:1
26.12.15	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:2

Upcoming Matches