Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 1, C+ France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Blue Zoom, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Hoffenheim		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	3
	2.3	3.7	2.8
	2.28	3.55	3.05
	2.25	3.75	3.09
	2.25	3.79	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.88
	2.29	4.06	3.01
	2.3	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	3 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
42.3%

Draw
25.7%

Lyon
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	31.2%	39.6%

Hoffenheim - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%). Lyon will win (votes: 19 - 41.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 27.1% – 55.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 35. Arthur Chaves 16. Stach A. 25. Akpoguma K. 15. Gendrey V. 17. Tohumcu U. 11. Grillitsch F. 22. Prass A. 7. Bischof T. 33. Moerstedt M. 27. Kramaric A.	40. Descamps R. (G) 20. Kumbedi S. 22. Clinton Mata 55. Caleta-Car D. 16. Abner 15. Tessmann T. 27. Omari W. 6. Caqueret M. (C) 17. Benrahma S. 69. Mikautadze G. 9. Orban G.
Substitutes
10. Berisha M. 29. Bruun Larsen J. 21. Bulter M. 4. Drexler T. 8. Geiger D. 23. Hlozek A. 2. Hranac R. 19. Jurasek D. 3. Kaderabek P. 37. Philipp L. (G) 18. Samassekou D. 26. Tabakovic H.	30. Bengui J. (G) 18. Cherki R. 11. Fofana M. 10. Lacazette A. 23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 29. Molebe E. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. 7. Veretout J. 12. Zaha W.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Stach A. 🟨,
10', Clinton Mata 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Gendrey V. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
61', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
61', Benrahma S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
61', Orban G. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
61', Mikautadze G. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Abner ⚽,
68', Kramaric A. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
68', Prass A. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
75', Bischof T. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
76', Moerstedt M. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
79', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
82', Caqueret M. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Lacazette A. ⚽, Caleta-Car D. (A),
90+6', 2 - 2, Tohumcu U. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Injury) Becker F. O. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Orban G. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Geiger D. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Diawara M. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Thigh Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Hoffenheim - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.10.24	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Porto - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Hoffenheim - Bochum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Lyon - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Lyon - Nantes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.11.18	Lyon - Hoffenheim	2:2
23.10.18	Hoffenheim - Lyon	3:3

Upcoming Matches