Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: SNP Arena (Sinsheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 4
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	04:00	Wowow Cinema, Wowow Live
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 4
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	Claro Sports 2 Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Sport


	Hoffenheim		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	3.25
	1.98	4.00	3.40
	1.98	4.25	3.3
	2.03	4.14	3.37
	2.06	4.18	3.26	Watch
	1.98	4	3.3
	2.1	4.05	3.24
	1.97	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.5)	4.1 ↑ (3.63)	3.29 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
47.6%

Draw
23.3%

Lyon
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

26.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoffenheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	9.4%	7.5%

Hoffenheim - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 43 - 82.7%). Lyon will win (votes: 4 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 72.4% – 93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Lyon (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 39. Rots M. 27. Kramaric A. 7. Avdullahu L. 22. Prass A. 14. Daghim A. 20. Conte B. 19. Lemperle T.	1. Greif D. (G) 37. Kango S. 20. Bacher F. 22. Mata C. (C) 21. Kluivert R. 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T. 2. Bidstrup M. 26. Boudache K. 45. Himbert R. 11. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
29. Abraha N. 11. Asllani F. 13. Bernardo 18. Burger W. 15. Gendrey V. 10. Hlozek A. 47. Lassig V. 32. Lenz C. 28. Machida K. 9. Moerstedt M. 36. Petersson L. (G) 37. Philipp L. (G)	16. Abner Vinicius 13. Athekame Z. 25. Bengui J. (G) 40. Descamps R. (G) 24. Duranville J. 38. Garcia A. 85. Kamara N. 18. Merah K. 23. Morton T. 19. Niakhate M. 7. Nuamah E. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Rots M. 🟨,
31', Kango S. ↓, Kamara N. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bacher F. ↓, Niakhate M. ↑,
46', Tessmann T. ↓, Morton T. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Daghim A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
60', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
61', Daghim A. ↓, Burger W. ↑,
61', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
65', Conte B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
72', Burger W. 🟨,
75', Boudache K. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
77', Rots M. ↓, Machida K. ↑,
78', Lemperle T. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
81', Kabak O. 🟨,
81', Ilzer C. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Hlozek A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
90+3', Niakhate M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Hoffenheim (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lyon is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hoffenheim is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Hoffenheim: De Cat N. (Knee Injury) Engelns L. (Off the roster) Hajdari A. (Foot Injury) Wimmer P. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Hamdani A. (Inactive) Openda L. (Leg Injury) Ouedraogo M. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 2.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hoffenheim against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 2.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
23	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lyon: 4.02% Hoffenheim: 3.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
18.10.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Hoffenheim - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Paderborn - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	OFI - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Lyon - Nice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Hoffenheim - Lyon	2:2
UEFA Champions League
07.11.18	Lyon - Hoffenheim	2:2
23.10.18	Hoffenheim - Lyon	3:3

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