Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Werder Bremen		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6	Watch
	1.47	4.75	6
	1.47	4.4	6.25
	1.48	4.6	5.6
	1.5	4.8	6.4
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.49	4.75	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	4.57 ↑ (3.65)	6.03 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
63.6%

Draw
20.7%

Nürnberg
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nürnberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nürnberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Werder Bremen - Nürnberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Werder has the most likely position - 1 (44.02%), has project points - 62, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (80%), has a chance of win league (44%).

Nürnberg has the most likely position - 6 (31.19%), has project points - 55, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, big importance 74, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Werder is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Werder won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German 2 Bundesliga
09.04.22	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Werder Bremen - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Werder Bremen - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
09.04.22	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Heidenheim - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.03.22	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Hannover - Nürnberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.11.21	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:2
German Bundesliga
02.02.19	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:1
16.09.18	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	1:1
08.03.14	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	0:2
29.09.13	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	3:3
18.05.13	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	3:2
16.12.12	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	1:1

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