Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.55	2.38
	2.76	3.51	2.63
	6.86	3.44	1.59	Watch
	2.95	3.73	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.84)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	2.28 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
27.5%

Draw
28.4%

Werder Bremen
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

26.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Heidenheim - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Werder will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Werder (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 4 - 50%). Werder (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 21. Beck A. 30. Dorsch N. 3. Schoppner J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 29. Kaufmann M. 11. Zivzivadze B.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 6. Stage J. 24. Covic P. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 17. Grull M. 7. Mbangula S.
Substitutes
2. Busch M. 5. Gimber B. 17. Honsak M. 20. Kerber L. 28. Kolle A. 1. Muller K. (G) 16. Niehues J. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S.	28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 11. Njinmah J. 33. Schmetgens M. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Siersleben T. 🟨,
33', Kaufmann M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
34', Puertas C. 🟨,
45+2', Covic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Grull M. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
63', Schoppner J. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
63', Mbangula S. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
68', Puertas C. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
68', Covic P. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
79', Dorsch N. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
79', Beck A. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
79', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
83', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Fohrenbach J. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt I. (Foot Injury) Stark N. (Hip Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Pieringer M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Backhaus M. (Shoulder Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Stage J. (Chest Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Kaiserslautern - Heidenheim	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	1:4
15.01.25	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	3:3
10.02.24	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	1:2
17.09.23	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	4:2
German 2 Bundesliga
12.03.22	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:1
01.10.21	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	3:0
German Bundesliga
06.07.20	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2

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