Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Ham United		Brentford

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.91
	2.95	3.6	2.25
	3.55	3.55	2.02
	3.69	3.75	2.06
	3.71	3.64	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.78	3.78	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.99)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	2.02 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
26.8%

Draw
26.2%

Brentford
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

West Ham United - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Brentford will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Brentford (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - West Ham (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 2 - 25%). Brentford (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Disasi A. 30. Scarles O. 28. Soucek T. 55. Kante M. 20. Bowen J. (C) 18. Fernandes M. 17. Traore A. 19. Pablo	1. Kelleher C. (G) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 22. Collins N. (C) 20. Ajer K. 33. Kayode M. 6. Henderson J. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 7. Schade K. 24. Damsgaard M. 19. Ouattara Da. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
11. Castellanos T. 49. Herrick F. (G) 3. Kilman M. 27. Magassa S. 63. Mayers E. 32. Potts F. 7. Summerville C. 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 9. Wilson C.	48. Bentt L. 45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 8. Jensen M. 5. Pinnock E. 49. Shield O. 50. Stephenson J. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Bowen J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Thiago I. ⚽, Collins N. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Bowen J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Traore A. ↓, Summerville C. ↑,
46', Scarles O. ↓, Mayers E. ↑,
60', Pablo ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
63', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
76', Kante M. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
80', Summerville C. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Thiago I. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Damsgaard M. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
89', Soucek T. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Wan-Bissaka A. ↑,
97', Ajer K. ↓, van den Berg S. ↑,
106', Fernandes M. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
106', Schade K. ↓, Furo K. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Bowen J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Thiago I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Castellanos T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ouattara Da. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Wilson C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lewis-Potter K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Soucek T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jensen M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mavropanos K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Pablo (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Henry R. (Muscle Injury) Hickey A. (Injury) Janelt V. (Foot Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Nelson R. (Calf Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Brentford: 1.95% West Ham: 0.71%

Last Results with these Odds

Brentford - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
04.03.26	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	West Ham United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burton Albion - West Ham United	0:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLTWT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
03.03.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Brentford	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.02.26	Brentford - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.10.25	West Ham United - Brentford	0:2
15.02.25	West Ham United - Brentford	0:1
28.09.24	Brentford - West Ham United	1:1
26.02.24	West Ham United - Brentford	4:2
04.11.23	Brentford - West Ham United	3:2
14.05.23	Brentford - West Ham United	2:0
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Brentford - West Ham United	0:1

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