Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	West Ham United		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.45
	2.78	3.65	2.45
	2.54	3.8	2.7
	2.79	3.71	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.45
	2.84	3.71	2.54	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)	3.64 ↓ (3.83)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
35.9%

Draw
26.4%

Bournemouth
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	50%	26%

West Ham United - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 12 - 24%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 13 - 26%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.1% – 63.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 2 - 20%). Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Bournemouth (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - West Ham (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bournemouth (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermansen M. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Disasi A. 12. Diouf M. 18. Fernandes M. 27. Magassa S. 20. Bowen J. (C) 28. Soucek T. 7. Summerville C. 11. Castellanos T.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. (C) 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 37. Rayan 22. Kroupi E. J. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
23. Areola A. (G) 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 63. Mayers E. 30. Scarles O. 25. Todibo J. 17. Traore A. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Wilson C.	7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 18. Diakite B. 29. Mandas C. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 15. Smith A. 16. Tavernier M. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Soucek T. 🟨,
44', Senesi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Adli A. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
66', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
72', Soucek T. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
80', Evanilson ↓, Tavernier M. ↑,
84', Magassa S. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
89', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
89', Jimenez A. ↓, Smith A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

West Ham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Pablo (Calf Injury) Potts F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:30. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burton Albion - West Ham United	0:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	West Ham United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWLW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
10.02.26	Everton - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.11.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	2:2
Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	0:2
English Premier League
05.04.25	West Ham United - Bournemouth	2:2
16.12.24	Bournemouth - West Ham United	1:1
English League Cup
28.08.24	West Ham United - Bournemouth	1:0
English Premier League
01.02.24	West Ham United - Bournemouth	1:1
12.08.23	Bournemouth - West Ham United	1:1

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