Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burton Albion		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.33
	6.4	4.95	1.44
	6.68	4.93	1.45
	4.17	3.42	1.88	Watch
	6	4.33	1.44
	6.4	4.6	1.44	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (7.22)	4.57 ↓ (4.68)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
14.5%

Draw
20.9%

West Ham United
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

20%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

19%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Ham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Burton Albion - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). West Ham will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Ham United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 5. Vancooten T. 3. Armer J. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 41. Krubally S. 23. Revan S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.	23. Areola A. (G) 15. Mavropanos K. (C) 3. Kilman M. 63. Mayers E. 2. Walker-Peters K. 27. Magassa S. 55. Kante M. 30. Scarles O. 17. Traore A. 21. Lamadrid K. 9. Wilson C.
Substitutes
29. Adom K. 42. Cannon A. 4. Chauke K. 27. Dudek K. (G) 22. Larsson J. 18. Moon J. 6. Sibbick T. 20. Sraha J. 11. Tavares F.	66. Ajala J. 11. Castellanos T. 12. Diouf M. 4. Disasi A. 49. Herrick F. (G) 61. Orford L. 32. Potts F. 7. Summerville C. 29. Wan-Bissaka A.
Coaches
Bowyer G.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Revan S. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Lamadrid K. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
74', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
74', Evans G. ↓, Chauke K. ↑,
82', Traore A. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
83', Scarles O. ↓, Summerville C. ↑,
83', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
83', Krubally S. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
95', 0 - 1, Summerville C. ⚽, Mayers E. (A),
101', Potts F. 🟥,
105', Wilson C. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,
105', Kante M. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
107', Armer J. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
120+2', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
120+3', Collins B. 🟨,
120+3', Adom K. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

West Ham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, West Ham is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

West Ham: 0.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
07.02.26	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Burton Albion - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLL
- West Ham United
English Premier League
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	West Ham United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWLWW

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