Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	09:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	23:15	Stan Sport
Austria	13:15	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:15	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	09:15	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	14:15	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:15	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
China	20:15	Migu
Czech Republic	13:15	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	13:15	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	14:15	Viaplay 2 Urheilu
France	13:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	13:15	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	14:15	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	20:15	M Plus Live
Hungary	13:15	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	12:15	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	17:45	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	19:15	Vidio
Israel	14:15	Sport 1
Italy	13:15	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	21:15	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:15	Sport+
Kenya	15:15	Gotv
Kosovo	13:15	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	20:15	Astro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	17:15	Medianet
Malta	13:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	06:15	HBO Max
Netherlands	13:15	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:15	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	13:15	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	13:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	17:15	Tapmad
Peru	07:15	Disney+
Portugal	12:15	Sport TV2
Romania	14:15	Voyo
Serbia	13:15	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	20:15	Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
Slovakia	13:15	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	13:15	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	14:15	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	21:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	13:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	15:15	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	14:15	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:15	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	09:15	Disney+
Usa	07:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:15	Disney+
Vietnam	19:15	FPT Play


	Burton Albion		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.33
	6.4	4.95	1.44
	6.68	4.93	1.45
	4.17	3.42	1.88	Watch
	6	4.33	1.44
	6.4	4.6	1.44	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (7.22)	4.57 ↓ (4.68)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
14.5%

Draw
20.9%

West Ham United
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13%

20%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

17.9%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Ham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Burton Albion - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). West Ham will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Ham United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 5. Vancooten T. 3. Armer J. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 41. Krubally S. 23. Revan S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.	23. Areola A. (G) 15. Mavropanos K. (C) 3. Kilman M. 63. Mayers E. 2. Walker-Peters K. 27. Magassa S. 55. Kante M. 30. Scarles O. 17. Traore A. 21. Lamadrid K. 9. Wilson C.
Substitutes
29. Adom K. 42. Cannon A. 4. Chauke K. 27. Dudek K. (G) 22. Larsson J. 18. Moon J. 6. Sibbick T. 20. Sraha J. 11. Tavares F.	66. Ajala J. 11. Castellanos T. 12. Diouf M. 4. Disasi A. 49. Herrick F. (G) 61. Orford L. 32. Potts F. 7. Summerville C. 29. Wan-Bissaka A.
Coaches
Bowyer G.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Revan S. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Lamadrid K. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
74', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
74', Evans G. ↓, Chauke K. ↑,
82', Traore A. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
83', Scarles O. ↓, Summerville C. ↑,
83', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
83', Krubally S. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
95', 0 - 1, Summerville C. ⚽, Mayers E. (A),
101', Potts F. 🟥,
105', Wilson C. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,
105', Kante M. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
107', Armer J. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
120+2', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
120+3', Collins B. 🟨,
120+3', Adom K. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

West Ham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, West Ham is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

West Ham: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
07.02.26	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Burton Albion - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLL
- West Ham United
English Premier League
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	West Ham United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWLWW

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