Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brentford		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.38	3.4	3.05
	2.1	3.71	3.6
	2.34	3.4	3.23	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.8
	2.26	3.47	3.33	Watch
	2	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.51 ↓ (3.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
42.9%

Draw
27.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

24.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	17.4%	5.4%

Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 71 - 77.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 5 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 68.6% – 85.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.77) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Brentford (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brentford (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 25 - 80.6%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 2. Hickey A. 20. Ajer K. 4. van den Berg S. 3. Henry R. 6. Henderson J. 27. Janelt V. 19. Ouattara Da. 8. Jensen M. (C) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 20. Milner J. 13. Hinshelwood J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 18. Welbeck D. 22. Mitoma K.
Substitutes
22. Collins N. 24. Damsgaard M. 45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 11. Nelson R. 5. Pinnock E. 7. Schade K. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 29. De Cuyper M. 53. Howell H. 19. Kostoulas C. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Wieffer M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
45', Hickey A. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 2, Welbeck D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
46', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
54', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
65', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
67', Henderson J. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
76', Gomez D. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
81', Ajer K. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
90', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
90+2', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.

Brentford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brighton & Hove is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brentford might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y. (Shoulder Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 2.56% Brentford: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English FA Cup
16.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Brentford	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.02.26	Brentford - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Newcastle United - Brentford	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTWWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1
19.04.25	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2
27.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	0:0
03.04.24	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
06.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
English Premier League
01.04.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	3:3

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