Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bournemouth		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	3.00
	2.30	3.60	2.95
	2.35	3.55	2.80
	2.34	3.65	3.12
	2.49	3.84	2.71	Watch
	2.25	3.60	3.10
	2.28	3.65	3.04	Watch
	2.32	3.70	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.6)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	2.97 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
41.4%

Draw
26.3%

Brentford
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Bournemouth - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Brentford will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bournemouth (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bournemouth (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bournemouth will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 37. Rayan 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson	1. Kelleher C. (G) 2. Hickey A. 20. Ajer K. 44. Schuster J. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 18. Sangare M. 6. Yarmolyuk Y. 27. Janelt V. (C) 19. Anthony J. 9. Thiago I. 7. Schade K.
Substitutes
7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 30. Rodriguez A. 6. Soler J. 27. Toth A.	14. Carvalho F. 24. Damsgaard M. 25. Diouf M. 39. Gustavo Nunes 3. Henry R. 33. Kayode M. 11. Ouattara Da. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 13. Wilson C.
Coaches
Rose M.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Schade K. ⚽, Yarmolyuk Y. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Kluivert J. ⚽,
45+3', Thiago I. 🟨,
45+4', Tavernier M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Tavernier M. ⚽, Evanilson (A),
56', 2 - 2, Schade K. ⚽,
60', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
60', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
60', Anthony J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
63', Hill J. 🟨,
66', Kluivert J. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
71', Hickey A. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
82', Rayan ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
82', Adams T. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
83', Tavernier M. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
85', Cook L. 🟨,
87', Smith A. 🟨,
89', Brooks D. 🟨,
90+1', Evanilson ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 0.

Bournemouth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brentford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adli A. (Calf Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Dasilva J. (Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury) van den Berg S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Collins N. (Injury) Jensen M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brentford: 1.05% Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Bournemouth - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bournemouth - Everton	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Mainz - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTLL
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leeds United - Brentford	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:6 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Brentford - Eintracht Frankfurt	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.03.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:0
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1
English League Cup
26.08.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:2
English Premier League
15.03.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	1:2
09.11.24	Brentford - Bournemouth	3:2
11.05.24	Bournemouth - Brentford	1:2
02.09.23	Brentford - Bournemouth	2:2

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