Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Ham United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.4	3.75	2.08
	3.42	3.78	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.5	3.8	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.09)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
28.1%

Draw
25.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

26.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	18%	54.1%

West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 33 - 55.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 43.2% – 68.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 25%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 12 - 50%). Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - West Ham (2.47) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - West Ham (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - West Ham (3.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 12 - 40%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 12 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 25. Todibo J. 3. Kilman M. 30. Scarles O. 27. Magassa S. 32. Potts F. 20. Bowen J. (C) 18. Fernandes M. 10. Lucas Paqueta 9. Wilson C.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 25. Gomez D. 29. De Cuyper M. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
40. Earthy G. 58. Golambeckis A. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 55. Kante M. 15. Mavropanos K. 63. Mayers E. 24. Rodriguez G. 28. Soucek T. 7. Summerville C.	21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 8. Gruda B. 13. Hinshelwood J. 19. Kostoulas C. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 14. Watson T.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Bowen J. ⚽, Lucas Paqueta (A),
13', Bowen J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Welbeck D. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Welbeck D. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Welbeck D. 🟨,
37', Fernandes M. 🟨,
42', Milner J. 🟨,
45', Kilman M. 🟨,
45+2', Dunk L. 🟨,
45+3', Todibo J. ↓, Mavropanos K. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 1, Lucas Paqueta (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', De Cuyper M. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
58', Minteh Y. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Veltman J. ⚽,
63', Wilson C. ↓, Summerville C. ↑,
72', Gomez D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
72', Milner J. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
82', Magassa S. ↓, Soucek T. ↑,
83', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Mayers E. ↑,
83', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Kante M. ↑,
83', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
84', Kostoulas C. 🟨,
90+3', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Brighton & Hove could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in West Ham: Diouf M. (International duty) Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Wan-Bissaka A. (International duty)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Fullkrug N. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Illness)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

West Ham United - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Manchester City - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
04.12.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLTT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1
26.04.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	3:2
21.12.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
02.01.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
26.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:3
04.03.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	4:0
21.08.22	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2

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